Title: Evaluation of Species Distribution Models by Resampling of Sites Surveyed a Century Ago

1 Title: Evaluation of species distribution models by resampling of sites surveyed a century ago 1 by Joseph Grinnell 2 Authors: Adam B. Smith, Maria J. Santos, Michelle S. Koo, Karen M.C. Rowe, Kevin C. 3 Rowe, James L. Patton, John D. Perrine, Steven R. Beissinger, and Craig Moritz 4 1 Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, 3101 Valley Life Sciences Building, University of California, 5 Berkeley, CA 94720-3060, USA. 6 2 Current address: Center for Conservation and Sustainable Development, Missouri Botanical 7 Garden, PO Box 299, Saint Louis, MO, 63166, USA. [email protected]. 8 3 Spatial History Project and Bill Lane Center for the American West, History Department, 9 Stanford University, Stanford CA 94305-2055, USA 10 4 4 Sciences Department, Museum Victoria, GPO Box 666, Melbourne 3001, Victoria, Australia 11 5 Biological Sciences Department, California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo, CA 12 93407-0401, USA 13 6 Department of Environmental Science, Policy and Management, 130 Mulford Hall, University 14 of California, Berkeley, CA 94720-3114 15